Crypto Truths & Lies for the Year 2025
An how to identify non-obvious facts to become a better investor
BTC will reach $250K and ETH $12K in 2025.
That's a prediction I just made up. It might happen or it might not.
Most predictions are like this, although some are supported with (some) data. VanEck offers well-reasoned predictions, while Cathie Wood is known for making grandiose predictions with high numbers. She expects $500,000 by 2026 and $1 million by 2030. Saylor? $13m by 2045.
Here’s a great summary of predictions for 2024 by DLNews.
But how insightful and helpful are price predictions? It doesn’t really give you actionable insights besides making your diamond hands stronger to HODL.
I propose a different mental framework that can make you a better investor, not just for 2025, but for the future.
"What important truth do very few people agree with you on?"
The question by Peter Thiel intellectually challenging because it's easier to maintain the status quo than to think for yourself.
Matti proposed a rehashed framework of the question by which they evaluate their investmen…